Climate adaptation
Analysis horizon: 50yr · 100yr
Climate Change Risks and Adaptation
Drought risk for agriculture; flood risk from intensified rainfall; volcanic risk (Ruapehu).
Context
Drought risk for agriculture; flood risk from intensified rainfall; volcanic risk (Ruapehu).
Structural drivers
Climate Adaptation Financing Gap. Climate adaptation financing gap with regional implications.
Solution camps
A number of distinct positions recur in the policy debate on this issue. Each is defensible on its own terms; none is obviously correct.
Climate Justice and Equitable Transition. Equitable burden and benefit sharing in adaptation. Key moves include Key initiative 1; Key initiative 2. The main tensions are: Trade-off or tension.
(Horizons Regional Council, 2024; Whanganui District Council, 2023)
Drought Vulnerability and Agricultural Adaptation
Increasing drought frequency; irrigation competition; crop yield volatility; pasture feed gaps.
Context
Increasing drought frequency; irrigation competition; crop yield volatility; pasture feed gaps.
Structural drivers
Car-Dependent Transport And Emissions. Car-dependent transport and emissions. This driver operates at regional scale with consensus consensus.
Solution camps
A number of distinct positions recur in the policy debate on this issue. Each is defensible on its own terms; none is obviously correct.
Community Energy and Resilience Networks. Local energy generation and micro-grids. Key moves include Key initiative 1; Key initiative 2. The main tensions are: Trade-off or tension.
(Horizons Regional Council, 2024; NIWA / GNS, 2023)
Flood Risk and Stormwater Management
Intensified rainfall; river flood risk (Manawatū, Whanganui); stormwater infrastructure undersizing.
Context
Intensified rainfall; river flood risk (Manawatū, Whanganui); stormwater infrastructure undersizing.
Structural drivers
Legacy Coastal And Riverine Development. Legacy coastal and riverine development. This driver operates at regional scale with consensus consensus.
Solution camps
A number of distinct positions recur in the policy debate on this issue. Each is defensible on its own terms; none is obviously correct.
Green infrastructure adaptation. Urban greening, cool surfaces, stormwater management. Key moves include Flagship move 1 for Green infrastructure adaptation; Flagship move 2 for Green infrastructure adaptation. The main tensions are: Internal tension 1 of Green infrastructure adaptation.
(Horizons Regional Council, 2023; Horizons Regional Council, 2024; Horizons Regional Council, 2024)
Ruapehu Volcanic and Seismic Risk
Tokelau volcanic field; lahars; earthquakes; ski industry and community exposure.
Context
Tokelau volcanic field; lahars; earthquakes; ski industry and community exposure.
Structural drivers
Impervious Surface Expansion And Stormwater Risk. Impervious surface expansion and stormwater risk. This driver operates at local scale with consensus consensus.
Solution camps
A number of distinct positions recur in the policy debate on this issue. Each is defensible on its own terms; none is obviously correct.
Managed retreat and relocation. Planned retreat from high-hazard coastal and riverine areas. Key moves include Flagship move 1 for Managed retreat and relocation; Flagship move 2 for Managed retreat and relocation. The main tensions are: Internal tension 1 of Managed retreat and relocation.
(Horizons Regional Council, 2024; Ruapehu DC, 2023)
References
Citations follow APA 7th edition (author, year) format. Each in-text citation above links to its full reference below.
- Horizons Regional Council. (2023). State of the Manawatū River: Water Quality Assessment 2023. https://www.horizons.govt.nz
- Horizons Regional Council. (2024). Horizons Regional Council State of the Environment Monitoring. https://www.horizons.govt.nz/managing-natural-resources/research/state-of-the-environment-monitoring
- Horizons Regional Council. (2024). One Plan: Horizons Regional Council Integrated Strategy. https://www.horizons.govt.nz/our-work/one-plan
- NIWA / GNS. (2023). NZ Climate Science Centre: Regional Climate Projections 2023. https://www.niwa.co.nz
- Ruapehu DC. (2023). Ruapehu District Council Long-term Plan 2023-2033. https://www.ruapehudc.nz
- Whanganui District Council. (2023). Whanganui City Council Annual Report 2023. https://www.whanganui.govt.nz
Technical details — how this page was made
This page is generated from a typed entity graph: 4 problem entities in this section, with their structural drivers, solution camps, and source-cited claims. The narrative essay above is human-authored; the drivers, camps, and claims are structured data woven into the prose by the renderer. Each claim cites a primary source listed in the References section. The full schema, the 18 cross-entity invariants, and the methodology registry are described in the methodology document. Last regenerated 2026-05-26 from the entity files under content/manawatu-whanganui/data/.
Generated from section climate of manawatu-whanganui on 2026-05-26. Do not hand-edit. Edit the entity files under the region’s data/ directory and re-run the region’s render.py.